Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.019097 0.024291 0.031305 0.041849 0.058045 0.083449 0.129937
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.013176 0.018474 0.026785 0.041936 0.072178 0.140457 0.362205
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.010534 0.015696 0.024624 0.043290 0.089218 0.236023 1.263613
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.008804 0.013682 0.022725 0.043701 0.105158 0.382356 7.105907
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.007361 0.011743 0.020235 0.041333 0.111373 0.532782 105.168164
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.006407 0.010461 0.018637 0.040299 0.121689 0.805117 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.005937 0.009981 0.018561 0.043320 0.154365 1.848777 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.005661 0.009815 0.019125 0.048700 0.214058 7.871466 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005408 0.009641 0.019613 0.054365 0.300737 165.988387 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004987 0.009029 0.018826 0.054871 0.352828 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.004634 0.008509 0.018153 0.055521 0.417306 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.004277 0.007929 0.017183 0.054363 0.459506 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003863 0.007220 0.015857 0.051647 0.485690 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003562 0.006739 0.015100 0.051448 0.577615 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003347 0.006425 0.014758 0.053230 0.766104 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.003133 0.006083 0.014244 0.053777 0.966678 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002878 0.005608 0.013214 0.050630 0.983115 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002685 0.005263 0.012531 0.049261 1.100782 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002599 0.005173 0.012659 0.053269 1.819507 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002555 0.005186 0.013137 0.060487 4.247484 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002507 0.005180 0.013554 0.068195 13.379060 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002389 0.004972 0.013184 0.068888 25.119876 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.002283 0.004785 0.012858 0.069779 58.769787 NaN NaN